Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.593082 0.698657 0.815872 0.955417 1.116771 1.297224 1.514068
2024-12-22 0.455462 0.592710 0.759210 0.975133 1.246723 1.575897 2.003889
2024-12-29 0.373731 0.532550 0.741291 1.033482 1.429290 1.943787 2.659656
2025-01-05 0.307290 0.477144 0.717834 1.079511 1.603932 2.330274 3.404349
2025-01-12 0.246915 0.416515 0.674793 1.089868 1.731311 2.673560 4.147059
2025-01-19 0.200870 0.366771 0.637285 1.100340 1.859588 3.036945 4.974571
2025-01-26 0.172332 0.338756 0.627827 1.152096 2.059172 3.535962 6.079731
2025-02-02 0.159991 0.336145 0.659944 1.278155 2.399621 4.304851 7.719109
2025-02-09 0.139131 0.312612 0.650116 1.328244 2.617177 4.900065 9.151699
2025-02-16 0.115267 0.277186 0.610681 1.315740 2.719162 5.308608 10.315874
2025-02-23 0.093421 0.240424 0.560825 1.273016 2.756023 5.603087 11.311782
2025-03-02 0.075602 0.208021 0.513076 1.224983 2.773257 5.860738 12.268956
2025-03-09 0.067983 0.198789 0.515599 1.287940 3.033963 6.634895 14.339553
2025-03-16 0.055738 0.174311 0.477710 1.253406 3.082041 6.992270 15.635431
2025-03-23 0.048918 0.162574 0.468110 1.283158 3.277245 7.679361 17.691435
2025-03-30 0.042867 0.151280 0.457189 1.307719 3.464814 8.375254 19.853300
2025-04-06 0.036427 0.136791 0.434445 1.297749 3.568613 8.900707 21.711849
2025-04-13 0.031251 0.124695 0.415545 1.294206 3.687703 9.476193 23.751680
2025-04-20 0.028345 0.119436 0.415457 1.342659 3.947494 10.412530 26.724587
2025-04-27 0.027971 0.123259 0.444031 1.478728 4.459004 12.012004 31.421709
2025-05-04 0.025473 0.118262 0.443638 1.529358 4.747422 13.100095 35.017833
2025-05-11 0.021849 0.107509 0.421793 1.510406 4.839925 13.710045 37.520479
2025-05-18 0.018200 0.095223 0.391539 1.458609 4.830066 14.056439 39.407917